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Yup, I agree it depends on the original charges and what the original sentence would have been without taking probation instead.
My philosophy is, if you THINK you need a lawyer, you NEED a lawyer.
How is your relationship with your PO? This is IMPORTANT, as you may imagine. Your PO can be your ally if he or she believes you are in fact following through- however if you are screwing up, especially if you had warnings before, why would they stick up for you? Did you do something that COULD have resulted in a violation earlier? Does your PO have a reason to tell the judge, "Go easy, this dude is trying"?
Think about all of that, talk to your PO. My advice is that if you have any doubts, even the state-appointed lawyer is better than nothing.
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