This thing is kind of fun.

CNN Electoral Map Calculator - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com

This electoral map shows you how each state is leaning according to the current state-by-state polling --- states safe for each candidate, states leaning toward each candidate, and tossup states. And it totals up the electoral votes for each candidate if the election were held today.

Right now Obama has 264 electoral votes either safe or leaning his way, and McCain has 174. There are 100 tossup electoral votes up for grabs right now. You need 270 total to win.

So right now, assuming everything went according to this map, Obama is only 6 electoral votes away from winning and McCain is 96 electoral votes away. When you look at the national polls overall, it's only a slight advantage to Obama, but when you look at these electoral vote counts, it translates into a near landslide.

Honestly, unless there is a huge game-changer in the next few weeks, I do not see any way for McCain to make up this difference. Right now, if Obama wins all his safe and leaning states, all he has to do is pick up ONE tossup state to win. If McCain picks up all his safe and leaning states, he still has to win ALL SEVEN tossups to win. It is a huge advantage for Obama right now.

The fun thing about the map is that it allows you to change who wins each state and who wins the tossups so you can see some hypothetical scenarios. For example, I gave Obama Ohio, Virginia, and Florida. And I gave McCain, Nevada, Missouri, Colorado, and North Carolina. The result was 324 Obama to 214 McCain --- not even close, a 100 point advantage to Obama, 50 votes more than he needed to win. Who knows how it will actually go? But it's fun to play with the different scenarios.

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More of the same: Renger's Rantings

Hey I like it cool tool! Should be stickied for the election! Awesome post.

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Thanks guys!

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More of the same: Renger's Rantings

Today CNN moved Virginia from "tossup" to "leans Obama." That gives Obama 277 electoral votes, which is more than the 270 needed to win. Obama is more than 100 electoral votes ahead of McCain and has more than enough to win at this point. It's not a lock, but it is a huge advantage to Obama at this point. As long as he and the Democrats don't get complacent or make any huge mistakes, I think Obama will win.

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More of the same: Renger's Rantings

This same CNN poll predicted kerry the winner back in 04...

It is looking pretty good so far:

Real Clear Politics electoral map combines the results of pretty much every major poll and has the electoral split as of today:

306 Obama 157 McCain 75 Tossup

9 more days to go - We're almost there.

I can't wait...God bless Obama

He is GREEN.

Free Da Herb!

Looks like CNN as updated its map again. Moved Colorado from "Tossup" to "Leans Obama," upgrading Obama to 286 elecotoral votes. And moved Indiana from "Leans McCain" to 'Tossup," downgrading McCain to 163. The electoral map is trending very well for Obama.

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More of the same: Renger's Rantings

R.C.P's map has been updated as well, now it's showing 311 Obama, 142 McCain, 85 tossup.

Attached Images

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Today CNN moved Nevada from "Tossup" to "Leans Obama," making it 291 for Obama vs. 163 for McCain, with only 270 required to win.

Apparently most of the polling shows a tightening of the nationwide margin, but a WIDENING of most margins on a state-by-state basis. For example, some of the states that had leaned toward Obama are now considered safe. Making that kind of change to the map does not affect the electoral count that CNN reports, but it does add confidence to the count.

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More of the same: Renger's Rantings

Another update today, and more bad news for McCain.

CNN moved North Dakota from “Lean McCain” to “Toss-up” – meaning three electoral votes that had been counted for McCain are now considered up for grabs.

The other moves do not affect the elctoral count the way they project it. Louisiana has moved from “Lean McCain” to “Safe McCain,” which does not change the count, but makes the prediction more firm. And Arizona has moved from “Safe McCain” to “Lean McCain,” which also does not change the count, but opens some possibility that McCain could lose his own state if it countinues to slide.

With 270 required to win, Obama now has 291, and McCain has 160, with 87 toss-up, according to CNN predictions. Anything could happen, and the polls could be wrong, but the trend is leaning Obama in a big way at this point.

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More of the same: Renger's Rantings

RCP shows Obama 311, McCain 142, toss-up 85.

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More of the same: Renger's Rantings

I like theirs better, at least they are less biased than CNN

RealClearPolitics - Electoral Map

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